So over in this thread I mentioned a concept for a TL I never really developed very far (like a lot of other ideas). @Ursogulos had valid questions to my basic description over there, but I did not want to derail that thread. I also thought it more likely to start a debate in its own. I don´t have all the answers, as it really was only a rough concept with some notes on possible developments. Thus the idea might actually benefit from poking holes in it or filling them. To start with here the description I gave, slightly expanded to adress at least in some way the questions posted.
My initial POD was for a (fictional) shipowner and merchant from Hamburg around 1340-1350 to decide that it might be beneficial to be out of sight and reach of the local authorities for a couple of years while tempers coold down. He decides against going to the med like other Hanse long-range trading missions and instead follows up tales of the Viking settlements in Greenland - slightly before the vanishing of the western Viking settlement there. Some Hanseatic ships were well capable of making the journey, even though the preference for navigation was still to hug the coast. Not satisfied with local goods he presses on and trades for furs in otl Quebec. It is not hugely profitable, but enough to produce some interest in Hamburg, especially with his description of abundant fish and timber in the region. These goods are less valuable than fur over long distances, but given the lasting conflict with Scandinavia and tensions with various Russian principalities in the second half of the 14th century as well as the declining fish populations in Northern Europe some in the Hanse like to have another option. Then there is the possibility that the sea beyond these lands (the Hudson Bay) may offer a route to Asia.
Over the next decades a few ships make the journey each year, some permanent trading posts are established, slowly become self-sufficient and largely rely on the fur trade for profit - similiar to otl French, Dutch etc. colonies in the region. They explore along main waterways in the North West and establish a trade network. For a long time the transatlantic trade remains small enough that few in Europe take note of it even within the Hanse. The large powers with an Atlantic coast are in the period focused on affairs closer to home (especially HYW, Reconquista). But by the mid 15th century technology has advanced enough to allow easier direct travel across the Atlantic (to the detriment of the briefly revived Greenland settlements), the distraction of the larger powers declines and it is has become increasingly hard to ignore how large and potentially ressource rich these new lands are. As a real colonisation by larger powers starts the Hanseatic settlements in Northeast-America - by now self-governing according to imperial town privileges - are slowly sidelined, although at first not simply swallowed up due to their claim to HRE protection (which at that time still meant something) and their Hanseatic connections. The few rival settlements established by non-Imperial traders may or may not have the same luck. The new powers also have to deal with a number of native polities that have benefitted from the trade routes and goods the Hanse towns established. I had been thinking mainly of a strengthened Haudenosaune and maybe a Cahokia (or at least the wider Mississipean culture), whose wide ranging trade network and agriculture were revived by the newly introduced goods and technology.
As I said, it is really a barebones idea in my large folder of undeveloped tl and story ideas, but as the topic came up I thought it could be interesting to discuss it. Which unadressed problems are there with this idea? How develops colonisation if it starts in the North, not the Caribbean. What would be realistically the effect of a number of smallish, semi-independent European settlement from say otl New York to Manitoba as the start of real colonisation? What if at least some of the tribes in NA have time to adapt to European presence and technology - which also is less advanced than later - because the contact is for a long time almost entirely through trade?
My initial POD was for a (fictional) shipowner and merchant from Hamburg around 1340-1350 to decide that it might be beneficial to be out of sight and reach of the local authorities for a couple of years while tempers coold down. He decides against going to the med like other Hanse long-range trading missions and instead follows up tales of the Viking settlements in Greenland - slightly before the vanishing of the western Viking settlement there. Some Hanseatic ships were well capable of making the journey, even though the preference for navigation was still to hug the coast. Not satisfied with local goods he presses on and trades for furs in otl Quebec. It is not hugely profitable, but enough to produce some interest in Hamburg, especially with his description of abundant fish and timber in the region. These goods are less valuable than fur over long distances, but given the lasting conflict with Scandinavia and tensions with various Russian principalities in the second half of the 14th century as well as the declining fish populations in Northern Europe some in the Hanse like to have another option. Then there is the possibility that the sea beyond these lands (the Hudson Bay) may offer a route to Asia.
Over the next decades a few ships make the journey each year, some permanent trading posts are established, slowly become self-sufficient and largely rely on the fur trade for profit - similiar to otl French, Dutch etc. colonies in the region. They explore along main waterways in the North West and establish a trade network. For a long time the transatlantic trade remains small enough that few in Europe take note of it even within the Hanse. The large powers with an Atlantic coast are in the period focused on affairs closer to home (especially HYW, Reconquista). But by the mid 15th century technology has advanced enough to allow easier direct travel across the Atlantic (to the detriment of the briefly revived Greenland settlements), the distraction of the larger powers declines and it is has become increasingly hard to ignore how large and potentially ressource rich these new lands are. As a real colonisation by larger powers starts the Hanseatic settlements in Northeast-America - by now self-governing according to imperial town privileges - are slowly sidelined, although at first not simply swallowed up due to their claim to HRE protection (which at that time still meant something) and their Hanseatic connections. The few rival settlements established by non-Imperial traders may or may not have the same luck. The new powers also have to deal with a number of native polities that have benefitted from the trade routes and goods the Hanse towns established. I had been thinking mainly of a strengthened Haudenosaune and maybe a Cahokia (or at least the wider Mississipean culture), whose wide ranging trade network and agriculture were revived by the newly introduced goods and technology.
As I said, it is really a barebones idea in my large folder of undeveloped tl and story ideas, but as the topic came up I thought it could be interesting to discuss it. Which unadressed problems are there with this idea? How develops colonisation if it starts in the North, not the Caribbean. What would be realistically the effect of a number of smallish, semi-independent European settlement from say otl New York to Manitoba as the start of real colonisation? What if at least some of the tribes in NA have time to adapt to European presence and technology - which also is less advanced than later - because the contact is for a long time almost entirely through trade?