Winter 1994- Uprisings of Dignity
Map of Balkans by Second Dayton Accords; bottom half of Republic Srpska being divided between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Serbia
The beginning of 1994 was rather peaceful for most parts of the world, something that seemed to be reinforced over by US President Reuben Askew and Chief Director of the Sovereign Union, Mikhail Gorbachev signing the Kremlin Accords. [1] With further peace now brought forward, both men would move forward with their plans. President Askew would continue overseeing the finalization of the drafting of the two amendments he and his coalition have formed, with voting over them soon to come. While remaining largely the same, some fine-tuning and further adjustments have been made to both, to encompass the overall ideals he set out for them and it looked to be right. Meanwhile, Gorbchev would announce he would not be running for reelection as SUSR Chief Director though was considering running for presidency of the Russian Federation. It is unknown who will succeed Gorbachev as the SUSR Chief Director, though he will still be running under the New Russian Workers' Party. Despite the growing sense of peace however, it did come also with continuing conflicts. After the Second Dayton Accords, this left the Republic of Serbian Krajina as the lone combatant in the war and after some more intense battles, they would finally surrender, arranging for various talks to be had. However, rather than talks of autonomus, most of them would rather just leave. Some of them would go over to the expanded Serbia itself. Others who became disillusioned with the nationalist sentiments would join their cormades over in Bosnia-Herzegovina, who was taking some lessons that Ethiopia learned from them and working on averting tensions born from ethnofederalism. This would be somewhat helped over by the disappointment, frustration and resentment the remaining Bosnian Serbs felt toward Serbia, laying the groundwork for the diverging cultural differences between them. And naturally, some of them just left the region altogether, going over to Europe or even the US or SUSR. However, it seemed that the conflict would finally die down. Despite this, not everyone was convinced. Milosevic was still in power and tensions were building up in other parts of Yugoslavia, with a few foreign policy advsors noting it would only be a matter of time before another conflict would break out. Where it would be, people were unsure though speculate it may be further south due to growing tensions over in Kosovo. Bosnia-Herzegovina itself dealt with the process of trying to move forward along with various concerning situations, such whether relocate the capital due to the concerns of Sarajavo's proximity over to Serbia though these troubles were balanced by financial aid sent over by Europe, including the SUSR along with the United States in reconstruction.
Meanwhile, the predicted retaliation of Qatar against its neighbors would begin commencing as they would have required sufficient evidence to decide which foreign powers back the counter-coup against their government to reinstall the monarchy. As such, they began making preparations to retaliatie against the hostile powers. The first one on the list would be Bahrain, the island nation over in the Persian Gulf. Fortunately for them, Bahrain was in difficult straits as was. Tensions were running high in there because of the growing contempt toward the monarchy. Back in 1992, a petition signed by 280 society leaders, including some of the dissolved parliament members called for the restoration of the national assembly. Initially, the government set up a thirty-member appointed "Shura council" assigned with "commenting" on government proposed legislation. Another petition the following month concluded that the newly formed council "does not replace the national assembly as a constitutional and legislative authority". A delegation of six members, half Sunnis and half Shias representing petition organizers met with the Amir who told them Shura council it was all they cold expect. [2] Naturally, the Qatar government seized on this opportunity. Having publically pointing out the accusations of political interference on them, Qatar would demand the government of Bahrain to step down, noting the violation of various rights, including the Shia majority. Naturalyl, Bahrain refused and before long, the island would be invaded. One major aspect was the secret deal that Qatar made with none other than Iran. Iran had historic claim on the island until 1970 when the deceased Shah surrendered said claim over in secret negotiations with the British. Despite this, they still wanted to try and reinforce influence over on the nation and so Qatar made the deal with them. After days of fighting with Qatar forces backing up the liberal and leftist protestors with their militia allies against the government, Bahrain would fall, with the royal family attempting to flee, only to be intercepted by Iran. However, rather than establish a neo-Baathist government, Qatar would soon withdraw after Iran would volunteer on overseeing the establishment of democracy and republicanism over to the island nation along with reforms, resulting in Bahrain in the Iranian sphere and the new Qatar government improving their relationship with Iran considerably. This concerned the UAE, who suspected they would soon be next and it seemed like the next stage of confrontation would be there. Unsuprisingly, oil prices would go through a shock increase as a result of the new conflict brewing in the Middle East along with the preexisting tensions. The oil price increase would cause an unsurprising discomfort on the world market, such as gas prices in the United States, but it also served to prove the importance of the governments' efforts to move away from fossil fuel usage and indeed, the higher prices was use to justify current and upcoming legislation and changes, especially when many noted that the changes and work already done made the shocks not as unpleasant as it was back in the late 1970s.
This would not be the only hotspot though. The stagnant economy over in Saudi Arabia combined with the rise of unemployment would led to further discontent over to the House of Saud. This along with the concerns going on with Qatar was leading to the government going further to trying crack down on the dissent and imposing harsher laws down, causing a growing haze of authoritarianism over on the nation. However the big hotspot was over up north. The discussions of NATO have spread over to the general status of it. Even with an outline of some plans, work remained on what should happen to NATO. While there was a conscensus for change, there was not much of an idea on how to actually move forward with that change. That being said, there were some changes starting to come about and one of them was over managing the behavior over the members of NATO. After months of talks and discussions, NATO would go about and do something unprecedented before in the history of the organization: suspending the membership of a member. And that member was none other than Turkey. From the human rights scandals caused to the Kurds to the growing concerns over political corruption and the like. Despite repeated attempts in getting Turkey to work with the Kurds, success has not been met and ultimately Turkey would have its membership suspending and losing some of the privilages and protections. With this, matters have grown increasingly tense over on what would Turkey's next action would be and what now. With them ramping up even worse issues in the Kurdish regions and skirmishes happening, it would not be long before open conflict would break out...
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[1]- Informaton and phrasing from here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994
[2]- Informaton and phrasing from here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1990s_uprising_in_Bahrain
