dzungars

Let's say the Qing/Later Jin are defeated by one of the Chinese factions during the fall of the Ming Dynasty (Shun, Xi, Southern Ming), and we'll say it's a very costly defeat with multiple banner armies wiped out entirely. What is the likely outcome for the areas imediately north of China? Are...

The challenge is to switch the fortunes of the Oirats / Dzungars and Uyghurs, so the Uyghurs roughly end up migrating to OTL Kalmykia while the Oirats / Dzungars remain in OTL Xinjiang with both areas still ending up being ruled by Russia and China respectively.