That may be the case, but I can think of the one capital of the western section of the Jochi Ulus where the Mongols could establish: Belgrade, with its strategic importance.
So what we might be looking at is some sort of French Huguenot country in South America, practically where French Guyana might be located?
On the other hand, a French Huguenot state could also be established in what is now Belgium since it was a part of the Netherlands at one point.
Would Quebec become the Protestant French version of the Draka though? Could this French colony actually become the safe haven for the Protestant population that is fleeing from a potential Catholic dominated Europe though?
That explains why the Huguenot influence in Prussia was huge: a Huguenot emigre community was probably responsible for the shaping of the Prussian Army.
Far Eastern Republic could become independent though. Siberia by itself might have a potential to fragment into several different states, like Yakutia and the remaining ethnic autonomous state.
Thankfully there was no records of genocide when the former Soviet Union fell apart, aside from what was happening between the Armenians and the Azeris.
Although there were several threads that discuss about the Huguenots being sent as colonists to French colonies though, like an example about Huguenots being sent to New France.
Well when it comes to 'Greater Russia', there's always Zhirinovsky who might be the guy to pull it off, or even Zyuganov who wants to reconstruct a new Soviet Union.
Their effectiveness kinda faded once they were allowed to have families of their own, which kinda kills the purpose of being a Janissary in the first place.
Although I don't know if Sehzade Mehmet was a good prince since he was killed already before Mustafa died, plus there were other sons...
Just one other factor about Sehzade Mustafa: when he was in Manisa as a part of his training for the throne, Mahidevran was with him. A simple PoD of Mustafa actually taking the message from Mahidevran about the plot to kill him seriously could have made a huge difference. And if Mustafa was too...